Mayer Multiples: The Metric That Helps Call Bitcoin Bubbles and Bottoms

Calling precise market tops and bottoms is next to impossible in the volatile cryptocurrency markets. That said, some traders believe identifying speculative bubbles and moments of bearish exhaustion can be made possible through the use of a fairly new metric known as the Mayer Multiple. Created by noted investor and podcast host Trace Mayer, the Mayer Multiple is defined as “the multiple of the current bitcoin price over the 200-day moving average.” Mayer Multiple Formula: Bitcoin market price / 200 day MA value = Mayer Multiple In technical analysis, it’s generally…

Bitcoin’s Sideways Drift Has Shifted Price Recovery Target to $3.7K

View Bitcoin’s six-day-long consolidation near $3,600 has neutralized the bullish view put forward by a falling wedge breakout confirmed on Feb. 8. The follow-through to that bullish breakout has been extremely weak with prices unable to challenge the highs above $3,700 hit last Friday. A move above $3,711 (Feb. 8 high) would validate the bullish outside reversal candle seen in the 3-day chart and open the doors to the psychological hurdle of $4,000. That looks likely as BTC has witnessed another falling wedge breakout on the 4-hour chart. Bitcoin risks…

Long-Term Indicator Suggests Bitcoin Price May Be Nearing Bottom

View Bitcoin’s weekly MACD has diverged in favor of the bulls. The indicator carved out a higher low in December, even though bitcoin’s price slipped to $3,100, signaling waning bearish pressures 17 months before the mining reward halving. Bitcoin witnessed a similar MACD divergence 17 months before the previous halving in September 2016. The bullish MACD divergence indicates the cryptocurrency could be nearing a long-term bottom or may have carved out one near $3,100 in December. That said, a move above the 21-month exponential moving average (EMA), currently at $5,334,…

Bitcoin Making Little Headway as Resistance Caps Price Gains

View Bitcoin is struggling to cross the 50-day moving average hurdle for the fifth straight day. The repeated failure at that key hurdle has neutralized the bullish outlook put forward by Friday’s falling wedge breakout. A convincing move above $3,630 (50-day MA) would revive the short-term bullish outlook and open the doors to $3,730 – the neckline of a potential inverse head-and-shoulders bullish reversal pattern on the 4-hour chart. A violation there would confirm a bearish-to-bullish trend change and could yield a rally to $4,130 (target as per the measured…

Bitcoin Price Pattern Hints at Short-Term Rally to $4K

View Bitcoin has backed off 4 percent from three-week highs seen on Friday, but looks to have formed a bull flag – a bullish continuation pattern – on the 4-hour chart. A move above $3,630 would confirm a flag breakout and open the doors to $4,000 (target as per the measured move method). Acceptance below the lower edge of the flag, currently at $3,546 would weaken the short-term bullish case. That, however, looks unlikely, as the path of least resistance is to the higher side, according to Friday’s high-volume falling…

Bitcoin Eyes $3.8K After High-Volume Price Breakout

View Bitcoin gained 7.8 percent on Friday, confirming a falling wedge breakout on the daily chart. The bearish-to-bullish trend change was backed by a jump in trading volumes to levels last seen in mid-November. Prices could soon cross the 50-day moving average resistance at $3,642 and test resistance levels lined up at $3,800 and $4,000 in the next few days. A break below the Jan. 29 low of $3,322 would invalidate the bullish setup. That looks unlikely, though, as the high-volume wedge breakout has confirmed bearish exhaustion signaled by falling…

Bitcoin Price Still Trading Flat While Litecoin Hits 7-Month High

View The immediate outlook for bitcoin will remain bearish while prices are held below the 6-hour chart 50-candle moving average, currently at $3,417. Litecoin’s BTC-denominated exchange rate (LTC/BTC) clocked seven-month highs earlier today. A close above 0.010182 BTC would confirm an inverse head-and-shoulders breakout and open up upside toward 0.013 BTC. The rally, however, may not happen immediately, as the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is reporting overbought conditions. LTC’s bullish setup would be invalidated if prices fall back below 0.010182 BTC. That looks unlikely, though, given the bullish long-term…

Little Relief in Sight as Bitcoin Price Closes at 7.5-Week Low

View Bitcoin suffered its lowest UTC close in over seven weeks on Wednesday, reinforcing the bearish view put forward by the rejection at the 50-candle moving average (MA) on the 6-hour chart yesterday. The close at multi-week lows also dashed hopes of a falling wedge breakout. The cryptocurrency also created a bearish outside reversal candle on the daily chart yesterday, opening the doors for a drop to falling channel support at $3,230. A strong move above the 50-candle moving average on the 6-hour chart, currently at $3,434 will likely weaken…

Little-Known Resistance May Be Blocking Bitcoin Price Bounce

View Bitcoin continues to chart bearish lower highs along the 50-candle moving average on the 6-hour chart. The immediate bias remains bearish while the cryptocurrency is held below that average line, currently at $3,450. Recent history shows bull failures at the 6-hour 50-candle moving average are often followed by a drop below the recent low. BTC, therefore, risks printing fresh multi-week lows below $3,322 (Jan. 29 low), having faced rejection at the crucial moving average hurdle earlier today. A convincing 6-hour close above the moving average resistance will likely weaken…

Bitcoin’s Daily Price Range Hits Three-Month Low

View Bitcoin’s daily price range has dropped to levels last seen in the weeks leading up to the sell-off witnessed mid-November. The latest bout of consolidation, however, looks more likely to end with a move to the higher side, as the cryptocurrency has created a falling wedge on the daily chart. Further, signs of bearish exhaustion have emerged on the 4-hour chart. A strong move above $3,430 would confirm a falling wedge breakout and open the doors to $3,658 (the high of the bearish gravestone doji created on Jan. 26).…